Chelsea to break the loosing curse! Time for the underlying stats to do the talking

✅ Value prediction from BetBettie: Bet on a draw

Get ready for an enticing London derby as Fulham and Chelsea face off at Craven Cottage, and BetBettie considers the Blues to be a more significant favorite than what the bookmakers indicate to secure all three points in this fixture.

While the Blues may not have enjoyed the best results in the recent past, BetBettie emphasizes that when considering Expected Points and overall statistics, the Blues should be comfortably placed in the current 5th position in the league with 11 points.

In last weekend’s showdown with Aston Villa, the Blues dominated the game until they were reduced to 10 men. On the contrary, Fulham has significantly overperformed their expected points this season, and statistics shows that they should realistically have five points instead of the eight they currently possess after the first six rounds.

Chelsea vs. Fulham – Conclusion

BetBettie identifies the best value in betting on a victory for the Blues and predicts that the underlying stats will become evident in this fixture.

The Cottagers will be aiming for their third consecutive clean sheet in the Premier League and are likely to adopt yet another defense-minded approach in the local derby. Unfortunately for Fulham, both Adama Traore and Tosin Adarabioyo are sidelined with injuries, while Sasa Lukic faces a race against the clock to be fit for Monday’s showdown.

The pivotal moment! 🥅 pic.twitter.com/ncX4UrZEs0

— Chelsea FC (@ChelseaFC) September 28, 2023

In a fixture where the Blues is considered the stronger side based on underlying statistics, BetBettie sees significant value in betting on a victory for the Blues. With odds offering favorable returns, savvy punters may find this an attractive opportunity. So, gear up for a Monday night clash that could see the Blues asserting their dominance over Fulham at Craven Cottage!

Record Statistics

In the 36 matches played between Fulham and Chelsea, Fulham emerged victorious in 2 games, while the Blues secured 22 wins. Additionally, 12 matches concluded in a draw. On average, both teams scored 2.25 goals per match in their direct encounters.

During the current season, Fulham has been averaging 1.09 goals per match. In 5 out of 6 matches played at home (83.33% of the time), the total goals (including both team and opponent) exceeded 1.5 goals. Furthermore, in 4 out of 6 home matches in the 2023 season (66.67% of the time), the total goals surpassed 2.5 goals.

On the other hand, the Blues have been scoring an average of 1.33 goals per match in the 2023 season. In 2 out of 3 away matches (66.67% of the time), the total goals (both team and opponent) went over 1.5 goals. In 1 out of 3 away matches (33.33% of the time), the total goals exceeded 2.5 goals.

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